Discounting the Future

Steve Goldstein on living in the moment – literally:

Interest rates haven’t been this low in 5,000 years

Interest rates were considerably higher in Mesopotamian times. DAVID MCNEW/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

How is this for a historical comparison — interest rates are at a 5,000-year low.

That’s a finding in the latest Bank of America flow show report, which, in fairness, is a number that’s been trotted out before. It’s based on a 2005 book about the history of interest rates, but the chart is still incredible to examine.

“In the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but no fear on Wall Street this happens anytime soon,” said David Jones, director of global investment strategy at Bank of America.

The Bank of America report pointed out there was a record weekly inflow to Treasury inflation-protected securities of $3.2 billion. The belief in low-rates also has inflows to tech stocks trending higher.

The 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed security yielded a record low negative 1.15% on Thursday.

The 10-year yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.223% was 1.25%.

The S&P 500 index SPX, -0.54% closed Thursday as its second-highest level ever, though stock futures ES00, 0.46% pointed to a lower start on Friday.

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