Nonlinear Dynamics of Maritime Supply Chains

By volume, 90% of global supply chains are maritime. Those supply chains respond to subsystem dynamics reflecting exchange rates, trade policy, tax policy, and weather. The 2020 China pandemic inflicted its own shocks consistent with previous China pandemics. Cuong et al., 2015 presents an interesting dynamical model of the three-stage maritime supply chain system thatContinue reading “Nonlinear Dynamics of Maritime Supply Chains”

Remember What the Constitution Says

Section 1, … “Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress: but no Senator or Representative, or Person holding an Office of Trust or Profit under theContinue reading “Remember What the Constitution Says”

Wir sind das Volk

“Wir sind das Volk” was a chant used by the Monday demonstrators during the peaceful demonstrations of 1989/1990 to end the GDR and bring down the Berlin Wall. The slogan meant that the “simple people” would no longer endure the dictatorship, and wanted to reform the political system of the GDR. One Middle-American Mom RagesContinue reading “Wir sind das Volk”

Chinese Corn Prices Accelerate

“China imported 1.1 million tons of corn in September, a jump of 675% from a year earlier, according to official customs data. That was the highest level since 2016. Between January and September, inbound shipments climbed 73% to 6.67 million tons, the highest since at least 2005, data showed.” https://www.bloombergquint.com/china/china-s-2020-corn-imports-are-already-the-highest-in-15-years#:~:text=China%20imported%201.1%20million%20tons,at%20least%202005%2C%20data%20showed.

Transport Volumes Up

Carloads and intermodal units up 2.2% YoY. Four carload commodities showed increases over 2019, led by grain, up 23.9%;  six were down, most notably coal (minus-20.1%) and petroleum and petroleum products (minus-19.1%). For the year to date, total traffic is down 9.8%, with intermodal units down 5.1% and carloads down 14.9%. https://trn.trains.com/news/news-wire/2020/10/21-intermodal-traffic-remains-up-carloads-still-down-aar-statistics-show

Red Ponzi Saber-rattling

“Every rocket force brigade in Fujian and Guangdong is now fully equipped.” Chang asserts that this is evidence of the communist regime’s invasion plans: “The size of some of the missile bases in the Eastern and Southern theatre commands have even doubled in recent years, showing the PLA is stepping up preparations for a warContinue reading “Red Ponzi Saber-rattling”

“When the European Union speaks as a superior, Russia wants to know: Can we do any business with the EU?”

Lavrov: “No matter what we do, the West will try to hobble and restrain us, and undermine our efforts in the economy, politics, and technology. These are all elements of one approach.” Question: “Their national security strategy states that they will do so.” Lavrov: “Of course it does, but it is articulated in a way thatContinue reading ““When the European Union speaks as a superior, Russia wants to know: Can we do any business with the EU?””