Tim Knight (Slope of Hope) enumerates the support breaches: https://slopeofhope.com/2021/03/index-omnibus.html#more-194173 With the giant reversal taking place today, let’s take a fresh look at some important indexes, in alphabetical order. First is the $COMP, the Dow Jones Composite. This cracked through its trendline on Friday, but it has sprung right back above it. We’ll see ifContinue reading “Hull Breach”
Author Archives: econophysics2020
$9 Trillion – “”The greatest trick the Devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn’t exist.”
Count on The Martens to ask annoying questions – stuff like “where’s my dough?” https://wallstreetonparade.com/2021/03/more-than-a-year-later-americans-have-no-idea-where-9-trillion-of-fed-money-went/ You can see the outflow. to the trading houses But where’s the in-flow? Beginning on September 17, 2019 – months before there was any report of a COVID-19 case anywhere in the world – the Federal Reserve turned on itsContinue reading “$9 Trillion – “”The greatest trick the Devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn’t exist.””
Red Ponzi Fades
Goldman: China’s Caixin manufacturing PMI fell to 50.9 in February from 51.5 in January, though still in expansionary territory. Most sub-indexes implied growth momentum moderated in the manufacturing sector. The production sub-index dropped to 51.9 in February from 52.5, and the new orders sub-index fell to 51.0 from 52.2. The new export order sub-index edged up onlyContinue reading “Red Ponzi Fades”
False Positive PCRs and “Asymptomatic” CoVid-19
For more than a year the reverse‐transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR) test for viral load has been considered a “gold standard” in the diagnosis of CCP/CoVid-19 infection. Should it be? RT-PCR is a laboratory technique combining reverse transcription of RNA into DNA and amplification of specific DNA targets using polymerase chain reaction. This technique’s “transformationContinue reading “False Positive PCRs and “Asymptomatic” CoVid-19″
Chris Whalen on the 2025 Correction
When we compare Weimar Germany a century ago to Oligarch America today, it’s easy to get a sense of deja vu. So how does this play out? As always, Chris Whalen can explain: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/the-great-correction-of-2025 In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we focus on the global tendency toward inflation even as economists insist thatContinue reading “Chris Whalen on the 2025 Correction”
CCP/SARS-CoVid-19 Phylogeny Update
NextStrain update: https://nextstrain.org/ncov/global For the longest time, CCP/CoVid-19 has shown remarkable viral genetic stability – remarkable for a zoonotic pathogen that only “recently jumped” species. Even more remarkable in that the “jump” occurred without any known species as the vector. And further remarkable that CCP/CoVid-19 is ~96% similar to a virus “discovered” in an abandonedContinue reading “CCP/SARS-CoVid-19 Phylogeny Update”
10-Day GFS Simulation
Meandering jet stream from weakened solar cycle. Careful how you trade those NG calendar spreads. It’s “Widow Maker” time.
Last Stand
Holding the line – it’s a phrase that flows through history. Poetic imagery. Like the Battle of Iswandllwana: At Thermopylae, King Leonidas I of Sparta faced overwhelming odds from the Achaemenid Empire of Xerxes I over the course of three days during the second Persian invasion of Greece. As Herodotus tells us: “Here they defendedContinue reading “Last Stand”
Capitol Police Could Use a Refresher on Weapons Safety
US military weapons training provides a set of “rules” for safe handling and use of firearms. Army, Marines, Navy, etc., they’re all very similar. Here are 5 of the most important: Rule 1: Treat every weapon as if it were loaded.Rule 2: Never point a weapon at anything you do not intend to shoot.Rule 3:Continue reading “Capitol Police Could Use a Refresher on Weapons Safety”
Monetary Politburo News
The “Martens” at Wall Street on Parade weighed in today on the dynamics of endless money creation: https://wallstreetonparade.com/2021/02/wall-street-sends-a-message-to-the-fed-we-have-run-out-of-places-to-stuff-your-treasuries/ The practical dynamics. As in “where all this sh___ goes” dynamics. Recall we have a monetary politburo for all sorts of reasons you likely heard before – bankers want to offload their liquidity risk onto the public,Continue reading “Monetary Politburo News”