Systemic Risk in the Red Ponzi

According to Reuters, Beijing now wants a full accounting of everything going on at local developers. “The government is monitoring everything now, unless you want to cheat, but they will be able to tell from your monthly figures,” said a senior executive at one of the developers in the pilot scheme. Following concerns of too much developerContinue reading “Systemic Risk in the Red Ponzi”

Enjoy Oligarchy

“ “Step one, help yourself to tasty assets from the public trough. Step two, figure out how to keep them. “The best investment in Ukrainian history may be about to become even better—Burisma’s recruiting of Hunter Biden to its board. After a government minister allegedly awards himself lucrative gas rights, the Ukrainian people overthrow aContinue reading “Enjoy Oligarchy”

Dynamical Landscape and Multistability of the Earth’s Climate

Georgios Margazoglou, Tobias Grafke, Alessandro Laio, Valerio Lucarini Abstract: We apply two independent data analysis methodologies to locate stable climate states in an intermediate complexity climate model. First, drawing from the theory of quasipotentials, and viewing the state space as an energy landscape with valleys and mountain ridges, we infer the relative likelihood of theContinue reading “Dynamical Landscape and Multistability of the Earth’s Climate”