econophysics2020

Dr. Judith Curry on Estimating Climate Risk Using Models that Fail Backtests

IPCC AR5 (2014) presents 4 emission pathways which are at the heart of the climate change debate. There are a range of other topics that are also debated – notably, the atmospheric and ocean physics effects from GHG concentrations assumed. Those effects are further attenuated by factors that modeled by IPCC such as a moreContinue reading “Dr. Judith Curry on Estimating Climate Risk Using Models that Fail Backtests”

Hi-Yo, Silver! Away!

Tim Knight (Slope of Hope): https://slopeofhope.com/2021/02/winding-up-for-the-pitch.html#more-193985 Silver is looking better by the day……… What SLV needs to do is break above 26.3, then we’re probably off to the races. The long-term chart of silver is very encouraging. This is all augmented by the fact that our friends in Gainesville think gold and silver are totallyContinue reading “Hi-Yo, Silver! Away!”

Naomi Wolf, Jimmy Dore, and Tucker Carlson in the Same Place at the Same Time

I think that’s called a planetary conjunction.

Wedges Broke to the Downside

Can’t say I didn’t say “heads up”. I mean, that was a Triple-7 climbing out and they do tend to drop things. Well, Tim Knight was kind enough to observe the Plunge Protection Team in the Monetary Politburo stepped in with still more debt/inflation for American households to prop up the Money Class. But let’sContinue reading “Wedges Broke to the Downside”

CCP/SARS-CoVid-19 Fully Sequenced

In a bioRxiv preprint, Chen et al. (2021) report the results of the first genomic sequencing of the virus. Chen traces CCP back to RaTG13 and RmYN02 – strains reported by Chinese researchers as detected in Yunnan province of China, but yet to be found elsewhere. The study considered over 4,000 full-length viral sequences made availableContinue reading “CCP/SARS-CoVid-19 Fully Sequenced”

ZB – Free Fallin’

But what’s more important is that it is dropping while picking up velocity while realized volatility is also dropping. Connect the dots McFly. Or, let Evil Speculator do it for you: https://evilspeculator.com/the-pressure-cooker/ Mmm num ba deDum bum ba beDoo buh dum ba beh beh Pressure pushing down on mePressing down on you, no man askContinue reading “ZB – Free Fallin’”

Остаться в живых

Вы можете сказать по тому, как я использую свою прогулкуЯ ходячий человек, некогда говоритьМузыка громкая, а женщины теплые, меня пнулиС того момента, как я родилсяИ теперь все в порядке, все в порядкеИ вы можете посмотреть в другую сторонуМы можем попытаться понятьВлияние New York Times на человекаБудь ты брат или матьВы остаетесь в живых, вы остаетесьContinue reading “Остаться в живых”

Mind the Wedgies

Wedges are characterized by a contracting range in prices coupled with a trend – upward is a “rising wedge” while downward is a falling wedge. Wedges are transitive – they form near the top or bottom of a trend and often resolve within ~4 weeks. In the case of an upward trend, resolution can triggerContinue reading “Mind the Wedgies”

You Drop a Bomb on Me

The Hard Realities of Population Dynamics and Accelerating Debt

Chris Hamilton’s Econimica blog remains one of my favorites. In his latest posting, Chris’s punchline remains on-point and entertaining Some say these are the seeds of the second American revolution as a class of unelected, undemocratic central bankers enrich a tiny majority at the expense of the majority…but I just like making colorful charts. IContinue reading “The Hard Realities of Population Dynamics and Accelerating Debt”