Whole Lotta Shakin’ Going On

The solar cycle is at a minimum with the onset of Solar Cycle 25. As is also apparent, the more active solar period that peaked in the first decade of the 22nd century is now entering a 30 year low activity period. Higher seismic activity correlates with low solar activity. We are already seeing evidenceContinue reading “Whole Lotta Shakin’ Going On”

Climate Temperatures Continue Decline Following a 2016 Peak

The UAH lower troposphere temperature trends are turning south as the weaker Solar Cycle 25 continues into the Modern Solar Minimum. The full UAH Global Temperature Report, along with the LT global gridpoint anomaly image for February, 2021 should be available within the next few days here. The global and regional monthly anomalies for the variousContinue reading “Climate Temperatures Continue Decline Following a 2016 Peak”

Second Largest Gas Withdrawal Recorded

EIA: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46916 Significant demand for natural gas in mid-February led to the second-largest reported withdrawal of natural gas from storage in the United States, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (WNGSR). Weekly stocks fell by 338 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in the week ending February 19, 2021, nearly three timesContinue reading “Second Largest Gas Withdrawal Recorded”

Dr. Judith Curry on Estimating Climate Risk Using Models that Fail Backtests

IPCC AR5 (2014) presents 4 emission pathways which are at the heart of the climate change debate. There are a range of other topics that are also debated – notably, the atmospheric and ocean physics effects from GHG concentrations assumed. Those effects are further attenuated by factors that modeled by IPCC such as a moreContinue reading “Dr. Judith Curry on Estimating Climate Risk Using Models that Fail Backtests”

The Limits of Climate Change due to GHG Sensitivity

Stefani (2021): The two main drivers of climate change on sub-Milankovic time scales are re-assessed by means of a multiple regression analysis. Evaluating linear combinations of the logarithm of carbon dioxide concentration and the geomagnetic aa-index as a proxy for solar activity, we reproduce the sea surface temperature (HadSST) since the middle of the 19thContinue reading “The Limits of Climate Change due to GHG Sensitivity”

The Blackouts That Go With Going Green

With the Modern Solar Minimum upon us, better get used to colder winters over the next 3 decades. Solar Cycle 24 (December 2008 – December 2019) is recorded as the weakest in magnitude since 1957 (Hajra, 2021). That cycle is consistent with the so-called “hiatus” that ran through 2013. Here is how Cycle 24 fitsContinue reading “The Blackouts That Go With Going Green”

Solar Minimum, Weakened Jet Stream, and Extended Cold Ahead

7-day NOAA GFS forecast (courtesy of Tropical Tidbits): https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2021021612&fh=6 With a weakening solar cycle, no surprise we are seeing new cold records being set. And, this is what’s ahead – a slight warming trend late-decade to be followed by a return to cold temperatures.

Solar Activity and Climate Change

Courtillot, 2021 presents compelling evidence that planetary dynamics can materially influence the solar radiance. The sharpened decline of solar activity since 1990 is evident in sun spot data: Finding whether the planets of the solar system, and in particular the Jovian planets, have an influence on planet Earth is currently undergoing a revival and hasContinue reading “Solar Activity and Climate Change”

Northern Hemisphere Snowmass Breaches 1-Sigma

As the low frequency Solar Minimum cycle continues into a 30-year bottom, we are seeing effects of the new multi-decadal cold era in the form of increasing snowmass levels in the northern hemisphere. Sea ice bottom out 5 years ago and beginning to climb back up The Antarctic highsheet has already returned to normal. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global-snow/202012

Climate Change – Solar Minimum Edition

Arctic air is set to hamer North America from the midwest to the northeast. The temperature anomalies are expected to drive temperatures some 20C below winter average, piling onto the declining climate temperature trends observed in recent months. Unprecdented amounts of snow is also expected. The weakened solar cycle translates to disrupted jet streams, revertingContinue reading “Climate Change – Solar Minimum Edition”