The Limits of Climate Change due to GHG Sensitivity

Stefani (2021): The two main drivers of climate change on sub-Milankovic time scales are re-assessed by means of a multiple regression analysis. Evaluating linear combinations of the logarithm of carbon dioxide concentration and the geomagnetic aa-index as a proxy for solar activity, we reproduce the sea surface temperature (HadSST) since the middle of the 19thContinue reading “The Limits of Climate Change due to GHG Sensitivity”

The Blackouts That Go With Going Green

With the Modern Solar Minimum upon us, better get used to colder winters over the next 3 decades. Solar Cycle 24 (December 2008 – December 2019) is recorded as the weakest in magnitude since 1957 (Hajra, 2021). That cycle is consistent with the so-called “hiatus” that ran through 2013. Here is how Cycle 24 fitsContinue reading “The Blackouts That Go With Going Green”

Solar Minimum, Weakened Jet Stream, and Extended Cold Ahead

7-day NOAA GFS forecast (courtesy of Tropical Tidbits): With a weakening solar cycle, no surprise we are seeing new cold records being set. And, this is what’s ahead – a slight warming trend late-decade to be followed by a return to cold temperatures.

Solar Activity and Climate Change

Courtillot, 2021 presents compelling evidence that planetary dynamics can materially influence the solar radiance. The sharpened decline of solar activity since 1990 is evident in sun spot data: Finding whether the planets of the solar system, and in particular the Jovian planets, have an influence on planet Earth is currently undergoing a revival and hasContinue reading “Solar Activity and Climate Change”

Northern Hemisphere Snowmass Breaches 1-Sigma

As the low frequency Solar Minimum cycle continues into a 30-year bottom, we are seeing effects of the new multi-decadal cold era in the form of increasing snowmass levels in the northern hemisphere. Sea ice bottom out 5 years ago and beginning to climb back up The Antarctic highsheet has already returned to normal.

Climate Change – Solar Minimum Edition

Arctic air is set to hamer North America from the midwest to the northeast. The temperature anomalies are expected to drive temperatures some 20C below winter average, piling onto the declining climate temperature trends observed in recent months. Unprecdented amounts of snow is also expected. The weakened solar cycle translates to disrupted jet streams, revertingContinue reading “Climate Change – Solar Minimum Edition”

Variability as Climate Change Driver

Per Roy Spencer: Significantly, extrapolating to zero population density would give essentially no warming in the United States during 1973-2011. As we shall see (below) official temperature datasets say this period had a substantial warming trend, consistent with the warming in the highest population density locations. How can one explain this result other than, atContinue reading “Variability as Climate Change Driver”

Cooler Canada

The anthropogenic hypothesis holds the rising concentration of greenhouse gases is due to human activities alone with no contribution from natural sources. Natural sources can be the result of temperature change from non-greenhouse gas drivers and from natural sources (e.g., ocean, landmass). Atmospheric GHG has been growing steadily with no material change in slope forContinue reading “Cooler Canada”

Spiking LNG Prices as Grand Solar Minimum Weather Patterns Appear

This is the first winter since the onset of the Grand Solar Minimum. And the impacts are sharp and immediate. LNG prices hit new records as temperature in Asia and Europe drop precipitousely amist tight supples. The historic Arctic blast is set to continue across Asia, with Beijing recording -19.6C on Thursday morning–the city’s lowest temperatureContinue reading “Spiking LNG Prices as Grand Solar Minimum Weather Patterns Appear”