Energy imbalance is central to understanding and explaining climate change. The NASA-Goddard simplified representations does not show any long-term imbalance; others (Trenberth, Fasullo, & Kiehl, 2009) show an “net absorbed” of 0.9 W·m-2. The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) indicates a “Surface imbalance” of 0.6 ±0.17 W·m-2 (one appreciates the margin precision). Judith Curry observes taking into account all potentialContinue reading “Solar Driver of Climate Change”
With the Modern Solar Minimum upon us, better get used to colder winters over the next 3 decades. Solar Cycle 24 (December 2008 – December 2019) is recorded as the weakest in magnitude since 1957 (Hajra, 2021). That cycle is consistent with the so-called “hiatus” that ran through 2013. Here is how Cycle 24 fitsContinue reading “The Blackouts That Go With Going Green”
7-day NOAA GFS forecast (courtesy of Tropical Tidbits): https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2021021612&fh=6 With a weakening solar cycle, no surprise we are seeing new cold records being set. And, this is what’s ahead – a slight warming trend late-decade to be followed by a return to cold temperatures.
Courtillot, 2021 presents compelling evidence that planetary dynamics can materially influence the solar radiance. The sharpened decline of solar activity since 1990 is evident in sun spot data: Finding whether the planets of the solar system, and in particular the Jovian planets, have an influence on planet Earth is currently undergoing a revival and hasContinue reading “Solar Activity and Climate Change”
As the low frequency Solar Minimum cycle continues into a 30-year bottom, we are seeing effects of the new multi-decadal cold era in the form of increasing snowmass levels in the northern hemisphere. Sea ice bottom out 5 years ago and beginning to climb back up The Antarctic highsheet has already returned to normal. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global-snow/202012
Arctic air is set to hamer North America from the midwest to the northeast. The temperature anomalies are expected to drive temperatures some 20C below winter average, piling onto the declining climate temperature trends observed in recent months. Unprecdented amounts of snow is also expected. The weakened solar cycle translates to disrupted jet streams, revertingContinue reading “Climate Change – Solar Minimum Edition”
This is the first winter since the onset of the Grand Solar Minimum. And the impacts are sharp and immediate. LNG prices hit new records as temperature in Asia and Europe drop precipitousely amist tight supples. The historic Arctic blast is set to continue across Asia, with Beijing recording -19.6C on Thursday morning–the city’s lowest temperatureContinue reading “Spiking LNG Prices as Grand Solar Minimum Weather Patterns Appear”
At 0.27C, December 2020 saw a substantial drop in satellite-based temperature of the global lower atmosphere from November’s 0.53C. See: https://www.drroyspencer.com for the dataset and analysis.
Tens of millions of Americans in Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states were blanketed with more snow in one setting than the 2019-2020 season. This isn’t just an isolated event – record snowfall and cold is increasingly evident throughout the world as the Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) takes shape ending the temperature ramp-up begun with the end ofContinue reading “Climate Change – Grand Solar Minimum Hits”