Solar Minimum Cooling Accelerates

Pretty much as predicted over the past 5 years, we are seeing lower troposphere temperatures turning south and solar activity declines. The plot above presents April 2021 data reported from AMSU-B radiometers aboard NOAA satellites. April 2021 dipped -0.05C below the 1991-2000 average. AMSU-A + AMSU-B have flown together on the 3 NOAA KLM satellites:Continue reading “Solar Minimum Cooling Accelerates”

Less Global Warming Than IPCC Forecasts

“Science is real”. Hear that a lot, don’t you? Usually from people who aren’t scientists, never studied science in college or grad school, and probably too a science course in their lives. If you listen to “St. Greta”, mankind faces an imminent calamity. IPCC models forecast rapidly rising temperatures. But as the graph above demonstrates,Continue reading “Less Global Warming Than IPCC Forecasts”

Solar Driver of Climate Change

Energy imbalance is central to understanding and explaining climate change. The NASA-Goddard simplified representations does not show any long-term imbalance; others (Trenberth, Fasullo, & Kiehl, 2009) show an “net absorbed” of 0.9 W·m-2. The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) indicates a “Surface imbalance” of 0.6 ±0.17 W·m-2 (one appreciates the margin precision). Judith Curry observes taking into account all potentialContinue reading “Solar Driver of Climate Change”

A European Polar Spring Amidst a Solar Minimum

Scotland’s coldest winter in a decade will drag on in what the Weather Outlook calls a three-week “polar spring”. Central UK faces an 85% chance of snow with potential for southernto experience unseasonable lows of -5C (23F). Central Europe expect a spring burial, with the Alps adding to the 3 meters (10 feet) of snowContinue reading “A European Polar Spring Amidst a Solar Minimum”

Climate Temperatures Continue Decline Following a 2016 Peak

The UAH lower troposphere temperature trends are turning south as the weaker Solar Cycle 25 continues into the Modern Solar Minimum. The full UAH Global Temperature Report, along with the LT global gridpoint anomaly image for February, 2021 should be available within the next few days here. The global and regional monthly anomalies for the variousContinue reading “Climate Temperatures Continue Decline Following a 2016 Peak”

Second Largest Gas Withdrawal Recorded

EIA: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46916 Significant demand for natural gas in mid-February led to the second-largest reported withdrawal of natural gas from storage in the United States, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (WNGSR). Weekly stocks fell by 338 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in the week ending February 19, 2021, nearly three timesContinue reading “Second Largest Gas Withdrawal Recorded”

The Blackouts That Go With Going Green

With the Modern Solar Minimum upon us, better get used to colder winters over the next 3 decades. Solar Cycle 24 (December 2008 – December 2019) is recorded as the weakest in magnitude since 1957 (Hajra, 2021). That cycle is consistent with the so-called “hiatus” that ran through 2013. Here is how Cycle 24 fitsContinue reading “The Blackouts That Go With Going Green”

Solar Activity and Climate Change

Courtillot, 2021 presents compelling evidence that planetary dynamics can materially influence the solar radiance. The sharpened decline of solar activity since 1990 is evident in sun spot data: Finding whether the planets of the solar system, and in particular the Jovian planets, have an influence on planet Earth is currently undergoing a revival and hasContinue reading “Solar Activity and Climate Change”

Variability as Climate Change Driver

Per Roy Spencer: Significantly, extrapolating to zero population density would give essentially no warming in the United States during 1973-2011. As we shall see (below) official temperature datasets say this period had a substantial warming trend, consistent with the warming in the highest population density locations. How can one explain this result other than, atContinue reading “Variability as Climate Change Driver”