The Life Cycle of a Swamp Creature

From American Thinker:

It doesn’t take Nostradamus or Carnac to figure out how the next two years will play out for Wyoming’s lone Congressional representative Liz Cheney. It simply takes a little observation of — and interaction with — the Swamp.  As an outside the beltway sometimes political operative and consultant, I’ve had the unhappiness of working with swamp creatures off and on since the 90s.

Liz’s future is easier for me to predict than yesterday’s weather. The broad strokes are a fait accompli.  I’ve seen it many times.  And while it may seem at first glance that her political career is at a dead end, it is far from it.  Liz will be rich very soon, if she is not already.  And she will do as much damage to the Trump/MAGA/Republican brand as she can in the process. This is how the swamp works. And she appears to be swampier than her father, and much more so than the smartest of the clan, her mother Lynne Cheney.

Now keep in mind, the lone House seat from Wyoming is a powerful seat in that it is one of the very few House seats that is more powerful in a way than the Senators from her state. Wyoming has two Senators, but only one member of Congress.  On a national level, she singularly represents more Wyoming residents than anyone.

And she will run again, knowing that she stands almost no chance in the primary. But she will have money, and she will get more money from the left, and she will use it to scorched earth destroy all those running against her in the primary.  Left wing groups from the outside will plant false flag candidates to dilute her competition, and they will claim falsely to be the Trump choice. Count on it. They will take extreme positions publicly and muddy the waters for the legit candidate carrying the MAGA banner. You heard it here first.

The RNC, of course, will join the actions of the left in trashing her primary opponent or opponents.

She knows, and her swampy left-wing donors will know, that while she will most likely lose, they will attempt to salt the fields for whoever the primary winner is. The primary winner will emerge broke, beaten down, and have a mountain of unflattering lies out in the media, social media and ether to overcome on General Election Day. The Democrat opponent will be handpicked by the DNC specifically to attract Hollywood, San Francisco, and Silicon Valley money. That kind of money will own the media airwaves in an inexpensive media state like Wyoming.

Meanwhile, the RNC will give zero help to that candidate in the General Election; that’s how the swamp rolls.

Now, regardless of whether this scenario can flip Cheney’s current House Seat blue or not, Liz will be rewarded for her efforts by different branches of Swamp, Inc.  First, you can count on a huge lobbying contracts right out of the gate. Maybe several. Seven figures, easy.

And there is no telling what kind of awful legislation she will help engineer in that job. The take for the evil people and evil causes will probably be in the billions. That’s why she’s going to be paid millions.

And in addition to that, the only other question is whether she will end up as a regular paid contributor on MSNBC or CNN. Her job on whichever network hires her, will be the role as “the good Republican.”  You know the type: the David Brooks, Steve Schmidt, Jennifer Rubin Republican – the kind of Republican who hates all real conservatives and legitimate Republicans. This gig will require a few hours per month, and probably pay mid-six figures.

She’ll never return to Wyoming, a state with which she’s barely familiar with to begin with. That is unless she’s a weekend guest at her parents’ place or at one of the Davos-connected left wing billionaire’s Jackson Hole enclave from time to time.

You probably know that the career path I’ve laid out for Cheney is correct, in the broad strokes. The details are yet to be determined of course, but we’ve seen this kind of thing play out many times.

This plays out in the consultant class as well. One quick example that I personally intersected with is Rick Tyler.  Rick was formerly Newt Gingrich’s Chief of Staff when Newt was Speaker of The House. When Newt ran for president starting in 2011, Rick was on his staff. The Newt campaign got off to a dismal start, polling dead last in a field that included Herman Cain, Rick Santorum, Mitt Romney and even Jon Huntsman. Tyler left the campaign.

Newt, unencumbered by Tyler’s advice, changed strategies and skyrocketed in the polls on the strength of his debate performances. Tyler, meanwhile, landed with a Newt Super PAC funded heavily by Sheldon Adelson called Winning Our Future. Through other channels, I was the coms guy for that PAC, and like most Super PACs, we only met on conference calls from our locations across the country. Adelson’s money paid us all well, and things were going great as Newt routed the field, including Romney, in South Carolina.

My advice was to keep this going, and my press releases stayed on this message. Newt’s campaign was directed only at Obama, and his leftist cohorts in Congress, the media, and judiciary. When Newt is good, he is very, very good. That’s the Georgia Newt.

But there is also the Washington Newt, the “bad” Newt, and that’s the Newt that resonates with Tyler and his ilk. Tyler decided to use Adelson’s cash to purchase the film “The King of Bain,” a lefty trope about Romney’s time at Bain Capital. So, with Newt riding high by bashing Obama, with a rhetorical skill that Romney and Santorum et al could only fantasize about having, Tyler decided to go left of Mitt Romney.  Tyler and I were at each other’s throat on the conference call where he announced this change in strategy. We usually were.

The rest is history. Newt bombed, Mitt won the nomination, and we know how that turned out in 2012 and we know how it’s still biting on our collective rear ends today.

And Tyler? He’s one of the “good Republicans” on MSNBC. He’s now full-fledged Washingtonian. I don’t know where he’s from. It doesn’t matter, just as Wyoming no longer matters to Liz Cheney.  This is how Swamp, Inc. rolls. Whether it’s headquarters in DC, or a branch in NYC or San Francisco or a state capitol, failing up like this is how all leftist Democrats, and the “good Republicans,” get rich.

Meanwhile, those of us rubes out in flyover country, we get bent over. And you know I’m right.

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/02/liz_cheneys_predestined_future.html

Racketeering

US-KENNEDY-50YRS-LEGACY

Open The Books:

The John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington, D.C. disclosed that it has received $269.4 million in federal funding since 2016 – including $42 million in grants and last year’s $25 million coronavirus earmark that was mostly used for payroll.

Even during the 2020 pandemic, the Center grew their net assets by $3.3 million to $505 million. Since 2016, our auditors at OpenTheBooks.com found a $114.4 million increase in net assets – from $390.6 million.

During this five-year period, their president, Deborah Rutter, received pay and benefits amounting to $5.1 million. Peak earning years were 2018 and 2019 when she was paid $1.3 million annually. During the 2020 pandemic year, she cut her pay to $507,375, which is still more than the U.S. President makes at $400,000.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/adamandrzejewski/2021/01/31/kennedy-center-received-270-million-from-congress-and-paid-their-president-5-million-since-2016/?sh=6a93ae3d36d6

OBEY!

In today’s WSJ Op-Ed, Ryan T. Anderson lays out the Resistance to Federal oppression:

President Biden’s pledge to heal and unify seems to mean giving the far left everything it demands in the culture wars. Conservatives therefore must resist. Yet in doing so we must avoid the trap of framing every debate as if it were about religious liberty.

Religious liberty is important, but it’s only part of the story. As the Biden administration advances a divisive and extreme social agenda, our response can’t simply be a polite request to be left alone. We need to oppose the left’s agenda on the merits. It’s the principled thing to do, and it will be good politics given where the American people actually are on the issues.

The left would love to frame these issues as if they pitted reason and science against superstition. But on all of these issues social conservatives are on the side of the biological facts. The Democratic Party and the left are the science deniers. To be sure, Christians believe the historic religious teachings on these issues are anything but superstitious: The scientific point of view confirms the biblical teaching that humans are created male and female. It requires no faith to know that a boy who “identifies” as a girl isn’t one and shouldn’t be allowed into private female spaces.

Likewise, although Christians believe all people are made in God’s image, it requires no faith to see that an unborn child is a child. Even atheists post ultrasound images of their kids. When they shoot off pink confetti for the gender reveal, they reveal that they know biological sex isn’t “assigned at birth.” It’s time to make the left follow the science. Conservatives shouldn’t frame these as sectarian religious issues, litigating them purely in terms of religious liberty.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/religious-liberty-isnt-enough-11612125595?mod=opinion_lead_pos5

Variability as Climate Change Driver

Per Roy Spencer:

Significantly, extrapolating to zero population density would give essentially no warming in the United States during 1973-2011. As we shall see (below) official temperature datasets say this period had a substantial warming trend, consistent with the warming in the highest population density locations.

How can one explain this result other than, at least for the period 1973-2011, (1) spurious warming occurred at the higher population density stations, and (2) the evidence supports essentially no warming if there were no people (zero population density) to modify the microclimate around thermometer sites?

I am not claiming there has been no global warming (whatever the cause). I am claiming that there is evidence of spurious warming in thermometer data which must be removed.

https://http://www.drroyspencer.com/2021/01/could-recent-u-s-warming-trends-be-largely-spurious/

The M2 Is All You Need to Know

Alistair Lacleod:

From last March until today, we can see a total of $8 trillion worth of QE (money printing) required to pay for all the programs, and that includes Biden’s $1.9 trillion, which I know has not been authorized—yet.  The figures are enormous.  There is absolutely no way that the dollar can hold its value with that level of money printing.  That’s just to deal with Covid.  Biden also wants to finance green spending . . . . How much more spending on top of that goodness only knows.  The thing is a mess, and it’s not just America.  When I look at Europe . . . they are incompetent . . . and when you get an incompetent government like that, forget it.  The Eurozone banks are on the verge of bankruptcy, I mean beyond insolvency.  They are on the verge of bankruptcy.  How do you handle a situation like that when you’ve got an incompetent bunch of bureaucrats at the top?  This is going to happen, and I am surprised it hasn’t happened yet.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/could-take-dollar-down-alasdair-macleod-warns-theres-real-crisis-winds

A Case for the China Virus (aka SARS-CoV-2) as a Lab Artifact

From the press release:

“The purpose of the analysis was to determine the origin of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Beginning with a likelihood of 98.2% that it was a zoonotic jump from nature with only a 1.2% probability it was a laboratory escape, twenty-six different, independent facts and evidence were examined systematically. The final conclusion is that it is a 99.8% probability SARS-CoV-2 came from a laboratory and only a 0.2% likelihood it came from nature.”

Reference:

Quay MD PhD, Steven Carl. (2021). A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived (Version 2). http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.447708

MarketWatch Summary: https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/new-study-by-dr-steven-quay-concludes-that-sars-cov-2-came-from-a-laboratory-2021-01-29

High Prices and Low Supply

A house's real estate for sale sign shows the home as being "Under Contract" in Washington, DC, November 19, 2020.

This is the 4th straight monthly decline, while contract signings are still up 22.8% from a year earlier on an unadjusted basis.

By region, pending home sales declined 3.6% in the Midwest, the fourth straight decrease. In the largest U.S. region — the South — contract signings edged up 0.1%. Pending sales were unchanged in the West and rose in the Northeast.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/29/december-pending-home-sales-drop-as-buyers-face-record-high-prices.html

Whack SPACs

Contrarian shares a cautionary tale: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4401822-current-speculative-bubble-dwarfs-1999-2000

From highly shorted equities to SPACs to the largest capitalization market stocks, an almost all encompassing pervasive bubble has made future real returns lower than any other time in modern market history for the U.S. stock market. The abysmal level of future expected real returns is dismal even compared to 2000 or 2008.

References:

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4401822-current-speculative-bubble-dwarfs-1999-2000

https://www.wsj.com/articles/when-spacs-attack-a-new-force-is-invading-wall-street-11611378007

The Founders’ View

The Constitutional Convention of 1787 | NEH-Edsitement

James Madison:

I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.

(T)he government of the United States is a definite government, confined to specified objects. It is not like the state governments, whose powers are more general. Charity is no part of the legislative duty of the government.

Thomas Jefferson:

The majority, oppressing an individual, is guilty of a crime, abuses its strength, and by acting on the law of the strongest breaks up the foundations of society.

(T)he opinion which gives to the judges the right to decide what laws are constitutional and what not, not only for themselves in their own sphere of action but for the Legislature and Executive also in their spheres, would make the Judiciary a despotic branch.

What country can preserve its liberties if its rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? Let them take arms.

John Adams:

Remember democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.

The moment the idea is admitted into society that property is not as sacred as the laws of God, and that there is not a force of law and public justice to protect it, anarchy and tyranny commence. If ‘Thou shalt not covet’ and ‘Thou shalt not steal’ were not commandments of Heaven, they must be made inviolable precepts in every society before it can be civilized or made free.

Benjamin Franklin:

When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.

George Mason:

(T)o disarm the people (is) the best and most effectual way to enslave them.

Noah Webster:

Before a standing army can rule, the people must be disarmed. … The supreme power in America cannot enforce unjust laws by the sword; because the whole body of the people are armed, and constitute a force superior to any band of regular troops that can be, on any pretense, raised in the United States. A military force, at the command of Congress, can execute no laws, but such as the people perceive to be just and constitutional; for they will possess the power, and jealousy will instantly inspire the inclination, to resist the execution of a law which appears to them unjust and oppressive.